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Severe frosts reaching -21°C in parts of the US Plains and Midwest on January 20-22 may have killed up to 15% of unprotected winter wheat, according to the Commodity Weather Group. Wheat futures rose on the news, with Chicago SRW up 1.8% and Kansas City HRW up 1.4% on January 28, while Ukraine's winter crops face moisture shortages.
Potential US winter wheat losses tighten the supply outlook and support wheat prices, though the gain is limited by ample stocks and Black Sea export competition.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。