South American soybean meal port basis strengthened to its highest since December 2024, with Brazil's FOB Paranagua at a $7/st premium to CBOT on March 20 and Argentina's Up River at $2/st. Market participants attribute part of the firmness to expected Chinese purchases of South American soybeans in place of US beans and EU meal buying due to trade disputes.
Outright FOB prices remain near lows since mid-2020.
Stronger South American meal premiums raise the landed cost of meal for importers despite low outright prices, and signal trade-diversion demand that could support soybean meal values into the new season.
在过去 342 次看涨的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +2.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
在过去 696 次看涨的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。