
The European Commission forecast EU soft wheat production at 126.5 million tonnes for 2025/26, up 13% from a 12-year low of 111.8 million in 2024/25. It also projected rapeseed output rising to 19.0 million tonnes, barley up 5% and maize up almost 10%.
Stocks are still expected to fall to 7.3 million tonnes by end-2025/26 as exports rise.
A larger EU harvest is bearish for feed grain prices, but falling EU stocks and higher exports partly offset that pressure. Lower EU wheat and maize imports would reduce demand for Black Sea and other origin supplies.
在过去 406 次中性的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
在过去 1,102 次看跌的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。