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Iranian urea and ammonia production has been idled since June 14, with all stored ammonia flared, after an Israeli drone struck a South Pars gas facility. Egypt has idled its nitrogen plants since Israeli gas supply stopped on June 13.
Phosphate prices are also rising on limited supply, with India and Brazil driving DAP and MAP demand, while potash prices are stable.
Lost Iranian and Egyptian urea output tightens nitrogen supply, and rising phosphate prices add to input costs for feed-grain and oilseed producers. Brazil's affordability limits may cap potash demand even as prices hold.
czapp.comStein Chingen Haugan2025年6月23日在过去 205 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（53% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.0%），20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
在过去 114 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +1.2%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
