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USDA left 2024/25 and 2025/26 U.S. soybean balance sheets and season-average prices unchanged in the June WASDE. Soybean futures fell on biofuel policy concerns, weak export data, and a drop in cash markets, while USDA cut 2024/25 soybean oil biofuel use by 200 million pounds.
Soybean prices are driven more by biofuel policy and export pace than by the unchanged balance sheets, which keeps soybean meal and oil prices under pressure. Demand for soyoil in biofuels remains the key uncertainty.
在过去 788 次看跌的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
在过去 114 次中性的报告事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。