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The JRC MARS bulletin for July 2025 forecasts above-average winter crop yields in Romania, Bulgaria, France, Spain, Ireland and the Nordic and Baltic countries. Yields around average are expected in Germany, Poland and Hungary, while Italy and Türkiye face reductions from heat and water stress.
Summer crops in south-eastern Europe face yield losses from persistent rain deficits and high temperatures.
Improved European winter crop yields add supply to the EU grain balance and weigh on feed wheat and barley prices, while heat stress in southeastern summer crops, notably corn in Hungary and Romania, supports some feed grain demand for imports.
joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu2025年7月21日在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 357 次看跌的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%（44% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
