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IKON Commodities forecasts Australia's 2020 wheat crop at 27.89 million tonnes, close to double last year, with canola at 3.57Mt and barley at 9.09Mt. ABARES projects 21.35Mt of wheat from 12 million hectares, and another forecaster puts wheat at 21.6Mt.
Planting has started after large rainfall events across most of the country.
A sharp rebound in Australian crops adds exportable wheat and barley supply and eases domestic feed tightness, which is bearish for wheat and barley prices if the forecasts hold.
在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。