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Cash crude soybean oil prices at an Indiana plant have fallen well below futures, with a negative basis widening to 5 cents per pound. The article says the June 13 expansion of the Renewable Volume Obligation sent December soyoil futures limit up, but oversupply and EPA skepticism have since weakened cash prices.
A wide negative basis signals weak physical demand for soyoil, which limits gains for US soybean processing margins and farm-level soybean returns despite strong futures.
在过去 351 次看跌的政策事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 369 次看跌的政策事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。