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USDA raised its 2026 U.S. milk production forecast by 300 million pounds to 234.3 billion on higher output per cow, and kept its 2025 estimate at 231.4 billion. It cut 2026 butter and cheese price forecasts while raising nonfat dry milk and dry whey forecasts.
The Class III price for 2026 was lowered by 70 cents to $16.35/cwt.
A larger U.S. milk supply and lower Class III forecasts point to lower dairy prices, while higher protein price forecasts offer some support for whey and milk-protein inputs.
cheesereporter.comdebbie2026年1月16日在过去 273 次看跌的报告事件之后，牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（39% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +0.4%），20 个交易日内为 -1.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
