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Goldman Sachs cut its USD/BRL forecasts to 4.90 in three months, 5.00 in six months and 5.00 in twelve months, down from 5.20, 5.30 and 5.30. The bank attributes the real's strength to improved terms of trade, a recovery in risky assets and high carry, and warns that a reversal in risk appetite or the October presidential election could bring volatility.
A forecast of a firmer real reduces the cost of imported inputs for Brazil-based feed and meat producers and can encourage exporters to sell soybeans, corn and meal more readily.
在过去 213 次看跌的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。