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Bank of America forecasts the Brazilian real will strengthen to 5.25 per dollar by end-2026 and hold that level through 2027. The bank also projects Brazil's policy rate falling to 11.75% by end-2026, with back-to-back 50-basis-point cuts expected.
A stronger real would reduce the local-currency cost of Brazilian soybean and corn exports, making them less attractive to buyers priced in dollars. Expected rate cuts would narrow the carry that has supported the currency.
在过去 213 次看跌的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。