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An opinion piece argues that a below-normal monsoon forecast for India's wheat belt, Punjab, Haryana and Chandigarh, creates regional inflation shocks that the RBI's uniform policy rate cannot address. The IMD forecast of 92 per cent of long period average rainfall was released on 14 April 2026.
Weak monsoon rainfall in the core wheat belt raises the risk of lower kharif output and tighter domestic supply, which could support Indian food prices and wheat import or export policy decisions.
downtoearth.org.inSagari Gupta2026年4月30日在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
