
Oil fell to a six-week low as the US and Iran tentatively agreed to extend their ceasefire by 60 days, with Trump saying he would make a final determination. WTI settled near $87 and Brent near $92, though Iran said no final understanding had been reached.
Easing expectations for Hormuz reopening lower energy and fertilizer cost premiums, weighing on biofuel and vegetable oil support and on freight. Risks remain as vessels were still attacked in recent days.
在过去 250 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -3.1%(36% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.9% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
在过去 255 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%(31% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.0% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -5.0%。
在过去 51 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,ULSD / 柴油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%(37% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -8.2% 至 +3.9%),20 个交易日内为 -2.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。