
Wall Street banks including JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley and BNY Mellon are forecasting the euro could fall more than 3% to $1.10 within a year. The euro has slumped to a one-year low this month as markets price a Federal Reserve hike in 2026 and no longer fully price one from the ECB.
A firmer dollar on widening US-euro rate expectations tends to weigh on dollar-denominated grain, oilseed and feed prices while making US exports less competitive. Feed buyers in euro-linked markets may see import costs shift.
在过去 533 次看跌的宏观事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(33% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +0.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。