
USDA cut its 2026-27 U.S. winter wheat production forecast by about 2% from the previous month because of persistent Great Plains drought. Hard red winter wheat output is expected to fall to its lowest level in decades, and only about a quarter of the crop is rated good to excellent.
Hard red wheat futures rose on the outlook.
Tighter HRW supply is a major bullish driver for wheat and HRW prices, and it could push up costs for wheat-based feed ingredients. Harvest weather will determine whether losses deepen.
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。