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NAB's Rural Commodities Index fell 1.2% in July, while wheat prices rose 10.8% after an 8.2% rise the month before. NAB cut its 2017-18 national wheat forecast to 22.7Mt from 23.3Mt, and warned that a dry rest of season could push the crop into the high teens or low twenties.
A smaller Australian wheat crop and rising domestic prices support wheat values and create a feed-grain premium as livestock producers look for supply. Weather outcomes over the rest of the season will decide how far prices move.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。