Queensland insights report that Middle East conflict and Hormuz closure have pushed up global fertiliser costs and created shipping uncertainty. Australia imports about 90% of its nitrogen and nearly 70% of its phosphate fertilizer.
Higher input costs are expected to flow through to grain and red meat and poultry feed.
Import dependence and higher nitrogen and phosphate costs raise farm input costs and could tighten grain and feed supply in the region. The impact is a background risk rather than a new price shock.
在过去 205 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
在过去 114 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。