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UN Secretary-General Guterres proposed a neutral coordination mechanism managed from Oman to facilitate fertilizer shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. The strait has been effectively closed to commercial traffic since late February, cutting off roughly 20% of seaborne fertilizer exports.
The plan works only if all parties to the conflict accept it, and Tehran opposes the US position on transit fees.
A workable transit mechanism would restore fertilizer flows and ease the supply premium in urea, but Iran's rejection of key conditions leaves the outcome uncertain.
在过去 17 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.9%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.1% 至 +2.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。