
Oil World analyst Thomas Mielke said global vegetable oil prices may rise into 2027 as disrupted Black Sea sunflower oil shipments coincide with declining South American soyoil exports. Sunflower oil shipments from Russia and Ukraine could run 300,000-350,000 mt below potential each month from October without a safe corridor.
A tighter sunflower and soyoil supply picture, plus India likely needing more palm oil, supports vegetable oil and protein-meal substitution costs for feed buyers.
在过去 110 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.8%(65% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +3.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
在过去 62 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.5%(74% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.1% 至 +5.8%),20 个交易日内为 +4.0%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。