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Physical crude prices in the Middle East, Europe and Africa jumped to two-month highs, with some cargoes nearing $110 a barrel. Dated Brent hit $105.70 on Thursday, its highest since late May and first breach of $100 since early June, and North Sea Forties reached $108.77 on Friday.
The moves followed Houthi attacks on Red Sea tankers, the collapse of a preliminary US-Iran peace deal, Hormuz export disruption and Ukrainian strikes that cut Kazakh output.
Higher crude raises diesel and freight costs and pushes up energy-linked feed inputs, while rerouted tankers add shipping cost and time. Vegetable oil and biofuel demand may firm as crude rises, supporting soybean oil and palm oil prices.
brecorder.comReuters2026年7月24日在过去 656 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.9%（63% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.7% 至 +6.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 626 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.1%（62% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +8.5%），20 个交易日内为 +1.6%。
在过去 250 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，ULSD / 柴油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.7%（58% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -3.6% 至 +8.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Physical crude prices surged with Dated Brent at $105.70 on the collapse of the US-Iran peace deal, Hormuz disruption and Kazakh output cuts, corroborating tight supply, though it is dated after the window ends.
Physical prices and Dated Brent surged on the same Red Sea and Hormuz disruptions plus the collapsed peace deal, confirming the tightness, though it was published a day later.
