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Grain shipping costs have risen sharply in 2026, with the Baltic Dry Index near five-year highs in mid-September and the IGC Grains and Oilseeds Freight Index at 187 points versus 138 in early January. Strong bulk demand, including Chinese iron ore trades, and typhoon disruptions have tightened vessel supply.
Panama Canal transit limits from October, caused by El Niño drought, add further bottlenecks.
Higher freight costs raise landed prices for grain importers and widen the cost gap for US exports routed through Panama, supporting alternative origins. Buyers face higher delivered feed costs.
world-grain.comMichael King2026年9月18日历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 359 次看跌的物流事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%（44% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.5%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 297 次看跌的物流事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
