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Industry players say earlier government policy errors on palm oil, including an export ban from late April to May 2022 and low cooking oil ceiling prices, caused producers to hold stock and created shortages. The government is considering advancing the mandatory B40 biodiesel program while cooking oil prices remain high.
Speakers at the International Palm Oil Conference in Bali highlighted lost Indonesian market share in India to Malaysian palm oil.
An earlier B40 start would absorb more palm oil into biodiesel and tighten domestic and export supply, which is bullish for palm and soy oil prices. Repeated policy interventions also add supply uncertainty that tends to lift risk premiums.
thejakartapost.comRiyadi Suparno2022年11月10日在过去 548 次看涨的政策事件之后，棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（61% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +2.1%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 842 次看涨的政策事件之后，豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（52% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.1%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
