
Drewry says palm oil has held a price premium over soybean oil for over eight months because of tight supply, which has increased India's soybean oil imports. Declining palm oil exports have reduced short-haul vegoil trade while boosting long-haul soybean oil routes.
Palm output in Malaysia fell sharply after heavy rains and flooding, and Indonesia's rising biodiesel mandate is expected to keep palm prices volatile.
Sustained substitution toward soybean oil supports soyoil demand and lengthens vegoil shipping routes, which supports ocean freight. Persistent palm price premiums keep vegoil prices elevated.
在过去 224 次看涨的贸易事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 133 次看涨的贸易事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%(64% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.8% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.7%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。