加载中…
A study commissioned by the American Soybean Association and National Corn Growers Association projects large export losses under a renewed US-China trade war. In a 60% retaliatory tariff scenario, soybean exports to China could fall by over 25 MMT and corn exports by nearly 90%.
US soybean prices could drop by nearly $1 per bushel.
Projected loss of China demand would reduce US soybean and corn prices and lower farm revenue. The figures are scenario estimates rather than realized policy, so they signal risk rather than an immediate price shock.
agweb.com2025年1月3日在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 683 次看跌的贸易事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
