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Russia announced in October 2022 that it was quitting the UN and Turkey-brokered grain deal, citing an alleged Ukrainian attack on its fleet, then reversed course after Turkish mediation and Ukrainian written guarantees. The article assesses the deal as functional but vulnerable to Russian suspension at any time.
The deal's fragility means any renewed suspension could quickly remove Ukrainian grain from world markets, supporting corn and wheat prices.
在过去 323 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 361 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。