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The UN Black Sea Grain Initiative has exported 32.8 million tons of grain and foodstuffs from three Ukrainian ports in its first year. Only one vessel remains under the deal, and 29 applications from ships in Turkish waters have not been approved by all parties.
No vessel has been allowed into Yuzhny/Pivdennyi since 29 April, and renewal is due on 17 July.
If the Initiative lapses, Ukrainian wheat and corn exports face a sharp drop in safe shipping capacity, which tightens global supply and supports prices for buyers of feed grains.
un.orgWelcome to the United Nations2023年8月1日在过去 361 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%（58% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +3.7%），20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
在过去 323 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%（57% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
