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An IFPRI analysis says Russia's July 2023 withdrawal from the Black Sea Grain Initiative raises fears of reduced wheat and other grain exports to developing countries. The deal had enabled Ukraine to export 33 million tonnes of grain, mostly to developing nations.
Russia has argued the deal's benefits for Africa were overstated.
Loss of the deal's export flows and its price-stabilising effect could raise wheat import costs for sub-Saharan Africa and support global wheat prices.
ifpri.orgJoseph Glauber, Soonho Kim, Elsa Olivetti, Rob Vos2023年8月7日在过去 361 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%（58% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +3.7%），20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
