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Russian wheat exports drove Black Sea dry bulk exports up 13% year on year from January to October 2023. Russia's wheat exports are on track for a record in 2023, while Ukrainian cargo losses keep Black Sea volumes about 20% below 2021.
A record Russian wheat export pace adds supply to Africa and Middle East markets, which is bearish for world wheat prices. Continued war risk and the loss of the grain initiative keep shipping costs elevated.
在过去 375 次看跌的贸易事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。