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StoneX cut its forecast for Rio Grande do Sul corn output to 4.51 million tonnes from 5.38 million tonnes because of drought. The firm noted that the state often suffers climatic setbacks, and that a dry 2021/22 season cut summer corn to 2.56 million tonnes.
Whether the dryness will also hit the state's soybean crop will become clearer in January and February.
A sharp cut to a major Brazilian corn-producing state tightens exportable corn supplies and supports prices. The loss is regional, so the effect on global prices depends on how much of Brazil's national crop is affected.
ukragroconsult.com2022年12月19日在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 324 次中性的天气事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（52% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
