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DTN meteorologist Mike Palmerino reports that weather remains very favorable for Brazil's second-crop (safrinha) corn in central Brazil, with scattered storms and no significant dryness this season. Flooding in northern Argentina and Paraguay from heavy storms may have affected soybean and cotton harvests.
Sea surface temperatures in the eastern equatorial Pacific were still in weak El Niño territory.
Good safrinha conditions point to a large Brazilian corn crop that will compete for export sales later in the year, which is bearish for corn and related feed prices. Argentine flooding adds modest support to soybean meal but is unlikely to change the balance much.
dtnpf.comMike Palmerino2019年4月23日在过去 357 次看跌的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%（44% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 324 次中性的天气事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（52% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 55 次中性的天气事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
