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Conab cut its 2023/24 Brazilian grain and fiber harvest estimate to 312.3 million tonnes from 316.7 million. Extreme weather linked to El Niño, including heavy rain in Rio Grande do Sul and drought in the Central-West, drove the revision.
The soybean estimate was also trimmed to 160.2 million tonnes.
Lower Brazilian soybean and corn output reduces global export supplies and supports prices for both crops. Feed buyers should expect firmer soybean meal and corn costs.
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。