
Brazil's crop agency Conab raised its 2024/25 total grain supply forecast to 325.71 million tons from 322.25 million, driven by a larger corn crop now projected at 122.01 million tons. It slightly cut its soybean forecast to 166.01 million tons due to irreversible drought losses in Rio Grande do Sul.
A bigger Brazilian corn crop adds export supply that competes with US corn, which is bearish for corn prices, while the soybean cut is mildly supportive for soybean meal.
在过去 1,102 次看跌的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
在过去 747 次看涨的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 414 次看涨的报告事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。