
DTN analyst Todd Hultman said a US drought would add to bullish pressure on corn and soybeans, which are already tight due to South American drought, biofuel demand and the Ukraine war. A summer forecast of hot, dry Midwest weather could push prices a dollar or more above record levels.
Nutrien's Eric Snodgrass linked a lingering La Niña to the June flash drought.
Tight stocks plus a possible US weather disaster would lift corn and soybean meal costs for feed buyers, with upside risk if drought develops.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 453 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。