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Illinois soil moisture was adequate after a wet winter, and the winter wheat crop had recovered well despite dry planting. Crop insurance premiums were expected to fall $3-6 per acre because implied volatility was low.
Fertilizer prices were continuing to trend lower.
Falling fertilizer prices lower input costs for growers and point to softer nitrogen demand pricing, while lower insurance premiums and low volatility signal a calm market outlook.
在过去 37 次天气事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.4%(73% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.1% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +5.6%。
在过去 29 次中性的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.6%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。