
The most intense drought since 2012 deepened over the past week across the U.S. Midwest farm belt, reducing soil moisture. It threatens yield potential in the heaviest corn and soybean production areas, though forecast rains offer some relief.
Yield risk in the core Corn Belt supports corn and soybean prices, with forecast rain limiting the upside if it materializes. Lower corn output also tightens feed grain supplies for buyers.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
On 6/29 the Midwest drought deepened to its most intense since 2012, threatening soybean yield potential and supporting prices despite forecast rains.
Forecast rains offered relief to crops despite the deepening drought, reducing the weather risk premium and pushing corn prices lower.