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Quantum Hedging's final harvest yield analysis, based on commercial seed plot results, finds U.S. corn yields finished modestly below 2024. Pockets of strength were seen in South Dakota, Minnesota, Indiana and Ohio, but these gains did not offset weakness in the Core Belt.
The analysis suggests USDA's late-season upward revisions may overstate actual yields.
If realized yields are below USDA's estimates, supply may be tighter than the official numbers indicate, which could support corn prices. The impact depends on how far the model's signal diverges from the final USDA figures.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。