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Spot basis bids for hard red winter wheat were flat in the US Midwest on 4 March 2025 as KC May futures fell 15 cents to $5.47/bu. The move followed new 25% US tariffs on Canada and Mexico and a doubling of duties on Chinese goods to 20%, and farmers were hesitant to sell at low futures prices.
Tariff-driven export risk pushed futures lower, and reluctant farmer selling keeps local cash supply tight, so buyers face weak futures with firm basis support.
在过去 82 次看跌的贸易事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.8% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。