Kansas City wheat futures rose about 10 per cent in five trading days on weather worries, nearing contract highs last seen in mid-2017. The earlier spike was caused by extreme dryness in hard-wheat regions of the northern US and southern Canada.
Winter wheat was also short of subsoil moisture as crops came out of dormancy.
Dry conditions in the US hard red winter wheat belt threaten yields, which tightens supply and supports wheat prices. Feed buyers should expect firm wheat values while the weather risk persists.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。