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Rabobank warned urea prices face substantial upside risk after production cuts tied to energy costs, including ammonia curtailments across European plants. China's hydropower shortfall is forcing power restrictions on urea plants, and government export controls have already pushed Chinese urea prices down from a June record.
Potash and phosphate costs are expected to ease.
Curtailed nitrogen output and constrained Chinese exports tighten global urea supply, supporting higher nitrogen input costs for feed grain and livestock producers. Lower potash and phosphate prices partly offset this.
grainpricenews.comMike Verdin2022年9月1日在过去 129 次看涨的政策事件之后，尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +1.4%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
