
Oil prices plunged on January 22 as concern over coronavirus spread weighed on the market. Goldman Sachs estimated the outbreak could cut global oil demand by 260,000 barrels per day, mainly through lower jet fuel use.
A demand shock from the outbreak adds to an already oversupplied market, pressuring crude and distillate prices. Diesel's relative resilience limits the downside for fuel costs.
在过去 32 次看跌的疫病事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -5.2%(13% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -15.0% 至 -2.4%),20 个交易日内为 -5.7%。
在过去 26 次看跌的疫病事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -6.0%(15% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -13.3% 至 -2.0%),20 个交易日内为 -6.8%。
在过去 13 次看跌的疫病事件之后,ULSD / 柴油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -5.1%(38% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -6.3% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 -6.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Oil plunged on Jan 22 on virus concerns, with Goldman estimating a 260k b/d demand hit mainly in jet fuel, contributing to the 5-day decline.
Oil plunged Jan 22 on virus concerns, with Goldman estimating a 260k b/d demand loss, contributing to the 5-day drop.