
Concerns over a heavily mutated Covid-19 variant, B.1.1.529, triggered overnight global stock and oil price declines and a bond rally amid heavy risk-off trade. Grain and livestock futures did not trade overnight, but spillover pressure was expected at the open after the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday.
Scientists had fewer than 100 confirmed cases and had not yet drawn conclusions.
Expected spillover selling could pressure grain and livestock futures, while lower oil prices reduce biofuel and feed-cost support. Uncertainty over the variant's severity keeps volatility elevated.
在过去 175 次看跌的疫病事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
在过去 50 次看跌的疫病事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +2.4%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
在过去 14 次疫病事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(29% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.8%。
在过去 70 次看跌的疫病事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Omicron-driven global risk-off selling in equities and crude, with pressure expected at the post-Thanksgiving open, is the most direct sentiment trigger for the corn decline.