
The yuan held up as risk-off sentiment lifted the US dollar amid Iran and Strait of Hormuz tensions, with the CFETS trade-weighted basket reaching its strongest level since March 2025. The onshore and offshore yuan traded closely, and PBOC fixing management helped limit its weakness against peers.
A stable yuan limits spillover from dollar strength into Asian currencies and helps keep Chinese import demand steady. Escalation around Hormuz that lifts oil prices could still pressure the yuan and regional currencies.
在过去 362 次看跌的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(42% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +0.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Risk-off sentiment tied to Iran/Hormuz tensions lifted the dollar on 2026-03-13, the day of the move, while PBOC fixing management limited yuan weakness, which directly explains a USD/CNY shift.