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The USDA's January WASDE report cut the US corn yield estimate, reducing production and lowering 2024-25 US ending stocks to 1.54 billion bushels from 1.738 billion in December. Global corn carryout was also trimmed to 293.34 million metric tons from 296.44 million, and corn futures rallied on the news.
Tighter US and global corn stocks support prices, but the reduction may already be priced in. Attention shifts to Brazil's second-crop planting, where weather problems could add upside, while expanding Brazilian plantings could cap gains.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。