
US grain futures rallied sharply overnight, with July corn hitting a near 12-month high and wheat a three-month high. Soybeans reached a five-week high after gaining over 50 cents in two days.
Weekly USDA data showed corn planting at 58% and soybeans at 29%, both behind expectations and well below five-year averages.
Wet Midwest weather delaying planting raises the risk of reduced acreage and yields, which supports corn, soybean and wheat prices. Analysts warn such weather-driven rallies can peak quickly.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Dated the same day as the move, it reports a sharp grain rally with wheat at a three-month high on planting delays, which fits a 5.68% one-day HRW jump via supply and sentiment spillover from corn.
Dated 2019-05-29, it reports a sharp grain futures rally with wheat at a three-month high on planting delays, matching the timing and size of the 5-day move.