
Grain and soy futures rallied after the July 4 holiday, with December corn up 14 cents to $4.55 and November soybeans up 41 cents to $11.89, both at their highest in about a month. Wheat also rose to three-week highs.
Drivers included hot, dry weather forecast for the western Corn Belt and a heatwave in Europe.
Dry US weather during the critical pollination period and European heat threaten yields, supporting feed grain and oilseed meal prices heading into August.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Post-July 4 rally with November soybeans up 41 cents on hot, dry western Corn Belt forecasts is a direct supply-risk driver of the move ending July 6.
Post-July 4 rally with November soybeans up 41 cents (~3.6%) on hot, dry western Corn Belt forecasts directly matches the large one-day move.