
CSBP says nitrogen, phosphate and potash prices are easing from recent highs as China returns to the international market. Chinese suppliers in Indian urea tenders have limited other exporters' ability to push prices higher.
Pakistan and India are also buying urea, with supply expected from the Middle East, Southeast Asia and possibly Russia.
Renewed Chinese export supply and tender competition put downward pressure on urea, and phosphate and potash prices are following. Lower fertilizer costs can ease feed-grain production costs over time.
在过去 81 次看跌的贸易事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.0%(28% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.2% 至 +0.4%),20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
在过去 40 次看跌的贸易事件之后,DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(38% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.7% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 -2.4%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
China's return to Indian urea tenders capped other exporters' pricing power and added supply, with buying from Pakistan and India not enough to offset it, so urea prices fell.
China's return to export markets and Chinese suppliers in Indian tenders cap other exporters' pricing power, adding supply-side downward pressure on urea.