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China's approval of additional urea exports has pulled nitrogen prices back from their July highs, according to IFDC's 24th Fertilizer Crisis Response Bulletin. The bulletin warns the relief could be temporary, citing risks from Hormuz shipping, possible reversals of Chinese export quotas, and sanctions.
It also flags Russian sulfur export restrictions and China's suspension of phosphate exports through August as constraints on phosphate supply.
Returning Chinese urea tonnage is easing nitrogen costs for feed and grain producers, but any Hormuz disruption or quota reversal could quickly lift prices again. Phosphate supply stays constrained, which keeps DAP firm.
fertilizerdaily.comKim Clarksen2026年8月20日在过去 81 次看跌的贸易事件之后，尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.0%（28% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -7.2% 至 +0.4%），20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
在过去 193 次看涨的贸易事件之后，DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 +1.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
