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Wheat futures rallied sharply on July 10 after Russia reportedly halted shipping through the Don-Azov Channel following a Ukrainian attack on the Sea of Azov. Russia also banned diesel exports after refinery damage, lifting heating oil futures more than 11% during the week and supporting soybean oil.
September SRW wheat hit a six-week high of $6.40 1/4 and HRW reached $6.76 1/4.
Threats to Russian wheat export flows and a diesel export ban tighten supply and lift energy costs, supporting grain and soybean oil prices. Feed buyers face higher wheat and fuel-linked costs while the conflict persists.
profarmer.comBill Watts10 de jul. de 2026Após 361 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Trigo (SRW) subiu em mediana +0,7% em 5 sessões (58% de alta; metade central de -1,4% a +3,7%), e +1,3% em 20.
Após 94 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Trigo (HRW) subiu em mediana +0,1% em 5 sessões (50% de alta; metade central de -2,7% a +5,8%), e +0,1% em 20.
Após 110 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Óleo de soja subiu em mediana +1,8% em 5 sessões (65% de alta; metade central de -0,7% a +3,6%), e -0,4% em 20.
Após 250 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, ULSD / Diesel subiu em mediana +1,7% em 5 sessões (58% de alta; metade central de -3,6% a +8,7%), e +0,9% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
Russia reportedly halted Don-Azov shipping on July 10 and September HRW reached $6.76, which started the rally through a trade-flow and war-premium mechanism.
Russia's diesel export ban and refinery damage lifted heating oil more than 11% during the week, which raises biofuel feedstock demand and input-cost parity and directly supported soybean oil in the 5-day window.
Russian diesel export ban and an 11% weekly jump in heating oil supported soybean oil through energy and biofuel-linked input cost channels, alongside a wheat rally that lifted the grains complex.
