What the Iran attack means for oil, fertilizer and ag commodities

Após 626 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (WTI) subiu em mediana +2,1% em 5 sessões (62% de alta; metade central de -2,3% a +8,5%), e +1,6% em 20.

• 2 de jul. de 2018What higher oil prices mean for OPEC and the U.S. | Brookings-0,3%
• 1 de abr. de 2026Fertilizer Prices Have ‘Significant’ Rise After Attack on Iran-6,6%
• 16 de out. de 2023The Commodities Feed: Oil market remains nervous | articles | ING THINK+1,5%
• 5 de mar. de 2026How the Iran war could create a ‘fertiliser shock’ – an often ignored global risk to food prices and farming+16,5%
• 13 de jun. de 2025Gas prices: What the Israel-Iran conflict means for your summer driving season | CNN Business+10,2%

Após 205 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Ureia subiu em mediana +0,4% em 5 sessões (53% de alta; metade central de -2,1% a +3,0%), e -0,4% em 20.

• 22 de mar. de 2022Fertilizer prices are at record highs. Here's what that means+0,4%
• 1 de abr. de 2026The Iran war’s impacts on global fertilizer markets and food production+10,6%
• 1 de abr. de 2026Fertilizer Prices Have ‘Significant’ Rise After Attack on Iran+10,6%
• 30 de jul. de 2026Iran War Is Driving a Wave of Demand for CME Fertilizer Futures-4,0%
• 17 de fev. de 2026China and Iran Redraw Fertilizer Trade Lines+0,3%

Após 110 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Óleo de soja subiu em mediana +1,8% em 5 sessões (65% de alta; metade central de -0,7% a +3,6%), e -0,4% em 20.

• 6 de abr. de 2022The Ukraine Conflict and Other Factors Contributing to High Commodity Prices and Food Insecurity | USDA Foreign Agricultural Service-1,6%
• 24 de jul. de 2023After the Bell | July 24, 2023 - Pro Farmer+3,6%
• 2 de abr. de 2026Commodities market update: unrest and high prices • De Molenaar+1,8%
• 2 de nov. de 2022After the Bell | November 2, 2022 - Pro Farmer+3,2%
• 11 de mar. de 2022Analysis: Black Sea conflict may alter global trade patterns for grains, veg oil-6,3%

Após 656 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (Brent) subiu em mediana +1,9% em 5 sessões (63% de alta; metade central de -2,7% a +6,6%), e +0,7% em 20.

• 2 de jul. de 2018What higher oil prices mean for OPEC and the U.S. | Brookings-3,1%
• 1 de abr. de 2026Fertilizer Prices Have ‘Significant’ Rise After Attack on Iran-12,2%
• 16 de out. de 2023The Commodities Feed: Oil market remains nervous | articles | ING THINK+0,4%
• 5 de mar. de 2026How the Iran war could create a ‘fertiliser shock’ – an often ignored global risk to food prices and farming+12,3%
• 1 de mar. de 2026How the attack on Iran could impact the global oil market and economy+31,0%