The Ukraine Conflict and Other Factors Contributing to High Commodity Prices and Food Insecurity

Após 361 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Trigo (SRW) subiu em mediana +0,7% em 5 sessões (58% de alta; metade central de -1,4% a +3,7%), e +1,3% em 20.

• 27 de mar. de 2023Regional war, global consequences: Mounting damages to Ukraine’s agriculture and growing challenges for global food security | IFPRI+10,6%
• 8 de abr. de 2022Food commodity prices hit unprecedented highs as Ukraine crisis festers-2,0%
• 2 de mar. de 2022Wheat Prices Shoot to 14-Year High on Concerns over Conflict Between Russia and Ukraine - AgWeb+6,9%
• 27 de abr. de 2022US wheat prices surge in wake of Russia-Ukraine conflict - High Plains Journal-1,9%
• 5 de mar. de 2026How the Iran war could create a ‘fertiliser shock’ – an often ignored global risk to food prices and farming+1,7%

Após 323 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Milho subiu em mediana +0,5% em 5 sessões (57% de alta; metade central de -1,5% a +2,9%), e +0,9% em 20.

• 27 de mar. de 2023Regional war, global consequences: Mounting damages to Ukraine’s agriculture and growing challenges for global food security | IFPRI+1,6%
• 8 de abr. de 2022Food commodity prices hit unprecedented highs as Ukraine crisis festers-0,7%
• 5 de mar. de 2026How the Iran war could create a ‘fertiliser shock’ – an often ignored global risk to food prices and farming+2,4%
• 6 de abr. de 2022A fertilizer shortage, worsened by war in Ukraine, is driving up global food prices and scarcity-1,9%
• 25 de mai. de 2022War in Ukraine to take large volumes of Black Sea wheat and corn off market in both current and next seasons – S&P Global Commodity Insights-2,8%

Após 110 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Óleo de soja subiu em mediana +1,8% em 5 sessões (65% de alta; metade central de -0,7% a +3,6%), e -0,4% em 20.

• 8 de abr. de 2022Food commodity prices hit unprecedented highs as Ukraine crisis festers-0,1%
• 6 de nov. de 2024Ukraine: Agricultural Policy Monitoring and Evaluation 2024 | OECD+2,9%
• 15 de jun. de 2025FACTBOX: Agriculture, metal markets wary of trade routes as Israel-Iran conflict heats up+4,7%
• 28 de fev. de 2026What the Iran attack means for oil, fertilizer and ag commodities - Pro Farmer+4,6%
• 2 de abr. de 2026Commodities market update: unrest and high prices • De Molenaar+1,8%

Após 205 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Ureia subiu em mediana +0,4% em 5 sessões (53% de alta; metade central de -2,1% a +3,0%), e -0,4% em 20.

• 9 de jun. de 2023The Ukraine Crisis and India’s Fertiliser Security - MP-IDSA+2,0%
• 5 de mar. de 2026How the Iran war could create a ‘fertiliser shock’ – an often ignored global risk to food prices and farming+3,0%
• 21 de mar. de 2022Fertiliser prices hit new highs as multiple problems affect global supplies | Food security | The Guardian+2,5%
• 6 de abr. de 2022A fertilizer shortage, worsened by war in Ukraine, is driving up global food prices and scarcity-3,9%
• 31 de mar. de 2022Exposure to the Russia-Ukraine conflict - BC Insight-1,0%